Mapping the results of the 2022 Ontario Provincial Election

I just finished mapping out Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservative election win from 2022. On June 2 of that year, the voters of Ontario returned the PC leader with a majority government with 83 seats. The Progressive Conservatives defeated the Ontario Liberals led by Steven Del Duca and the Ontario NDP which was helmed by Andrea Horwath. Both defeated party leaders would move on from provincial politics and have since become the mayors of Vaughan and Hamilton, respectively.

The results of this pandemic-era election were very much similar to the 2018 provincial election – another majority for the PC under Ford – but the election saw a strenghthened mandate for the Premier. One independent candidate was elected in Haldimand–Norfolk.

This is the sixth election I’ve mapped out for the province of Ontario. You can review all of those elections here and drill down on the results of this one using the provincial map.

The mapped results of the 2022 Ontario Provincial election

Clicking/tapping on a riding will zoom you into the map for a poll-by-poll breakdown. You can dive into your own riding and find out how your neighbours voted! Hovering over ridings or neighbourhood polls will show a pie chart breakdown of the proportion of votes in a particular area. Expanding the tile at the bottom right and switching to the “Turnout” tab will show voter turnout rates on a riding level or can show poll-by-poll rates of partipation.

Scarborough Centre coloured by poll winner.

You can also use the search bar at the top of the page to search for any candidate or riding over the last 6 elections. Some candidates appear more than once and you can track their electoral history (no matter which riding they may have contested). Clicking on a riding will also show a “related content” button at the top of the page which you can use to find the results of nearby ridings. A few of those ridings are also summarized below the map.

Green party win in Guelph shaded by the strength of the Progressive Conservative vote (ironically the colour green showing strongest PC areas here). Mike Schreiner, the Green Party leader won the party’s only seat.

If you’re wondering how to take these screenshots to put these images in your own posts or tweets, click the camera at the top left of the map. This will download an image of the map.

Zooming around the map is a lot of fun. It’s vector-based, so zooming in and out is smooth and looks great.

Clicking the “Up to 2022 Provincial Election” button in the top right zooms the map out to the provincial riding context, while clicking on a riding zooms in to show the local breakdown.

A particularly strong neighbourhood poll for PC candidate Doug Ford in Etobicoke North.

I’ve integrated building footprints for all of Ontario (and Canada) into my map, so you can see grouping of houses on cul-de-sacs, apartment buildings, and in some cases even the house numbers.

NDP leader Andrea Horwath best poll in Hamilton Centre.

Visualizing these building footprints in neighbourhoods for various polls is a new feature of this iteration of these maps. I’ve also extended this feature to my previous maps (both federal and provincial). It can be useful to consider different zoning and dwelling types when appreciating party strength in a riding.

Liberal leader Steven Del Duca did not have a great showing in his riding of Vaughan–Woodbridge.

I enjoy pulling these maps together for the broader political community and to help voters further engage with our democratic process. I’ll be mapping other provincial elections as that data becomes available from the relevant provincial elections agencies.

York South–Weston showing a diversity of voting preferences throughout the riding.

Richard Ciano’s bid to run the PCPO

My friend Richard Ciano is running for the Presidency of the PC Party of Ontario. He’s launching his campaign tonight in a simultaneous telephone townhall/live townhall/live webcast event.

His slogan is “Time to win” which really cuts to it for a lot of Ontario Tories. Clear messaging has always been a hallmark of Ciano and his pal Nick Kouvalis who ran Rob Ford’s “Stop the Gravy Train Campaign”. The event kicks off at 7:00pm and I’ve embedded the video below.

You can join the telephone townhall at 1-877-229-8493 and enter ID code 19167

Other candidates for the Presidency include Kevin Gaudet and John Snobelen.

Journalist goes political…

We’re in an election year here in Ontario and nominations for various party candidacies are being filled. I’ve learned that come next October, PC leader Tim Hudak may have something of a star candidate in Global’s Darryl Konynenbelt.

Konynenbelt is well-known to Toronto viewers and will be seeking the PC party nomination of Mississauga South where he is raising triplets with his wife Anne-Marie Mediwake, who also works in television. Darryl’s profile page at globaltoronto.com has gone blank and he also had this announcement just last night:

Tomorrow my twitter here ends. Details to follow@ 11:30am

I’ve contacted Darryl and he’s confirmed the news. He’ll be giving a press conference at 11:30am at Snug Harbour Port Credit.