The polling information from this weekend seems accurate as it seems to be a valid indicator of Canadian outrage to the Liberal sponsorship scandal. Numbers released today indicate that, not only have the numbers held, the Liberals have fallen another 4% (from 39% to 35% popular support). The Conservative Party of Canada, with welcome momentum, has climbed 3% to 27%. The margin of popular support between the two parties is narrowing and the trend would indicate that this differential will only narrow further. As new relevations come each day, more and more Canadians are becoming aware of the mismanagement and inappropriate behaviour by their government.
To the average Canadian, the Conservative Party of Canada is becoming a viable alternative to Paul Martin and Jean Chrétien’s Liberals. Indeed, our house is united while theirs is becoming more and more divided.
The numbers this weekend provide hope for our political process — when a party is involved in corrupt practices, giving taxpayer money to party-faithful, the Canadian electorate will react and send a powerful message to Ottawa that they are upset and that they will be heard. Democracy isn’t dead. At a time when the Conservative Party of Canada is gaining momentum, this latest turn of events may indicate that Canada may indeed escape the Liberal Limbo in which it has been suspended for the past 11 years. A competitive political environment is alive in Canada for the first time, in a long time, and Canadians deserve nothing less.
The numbers this weekend are supportive of this fact with 1 out of 5 liberal supporters effectively turning their backs to the party. The Liberals are down 9% from 48% to 39%, the Conservative Party of Canada is up 5% from 21% to 26% and the NDP is up 2% from 16% to 18%. These numbers indicate that the Liberals would not likely form a majority government if an election was held today.
A valid alternative choice to the Liberals is what Canadians deserve and the Liberals are giving Canadians reason to shop around.
All three candidates vying for the leadership of the new Conservative Party of Canada are now in the heart of their respective campaigns. As Tony Clement, Belinda Stronach and Stephen Harper criss-cross the country, signing up new members and impressing current ones, here is a comparison of their campaigns.
On the Liberal sponsorship scandal As we’re all aware, the latest scandal has hit the Liberal Party and it has hit it hard. Dr. Hill, Leader of the Opposition, has been trying to crack this one wide open. The next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada will have to be effective in pointing out Liberal lies so how do Stephen Harper, Tony Clement and Belinda Stronach approach this issue?
“Does Paul Martin seriously expect us to believe that he is a stranger in the Liberal Party? He was not only Minister of Finance during the Sponsorship scandal, but he served as the senior minister for Quebec in the last election. He sat on the cabinet’s Quebec Committee with Alfonso Gagliano – a man whom Martin has just fired. I demand to know the reason he was fired.” — Stephen Harper
“The only way to clear the air is for the Liberal Party to return the money it received from communications companies involved in this scandal … In addition, The Chief Electoral Officer should investigate all other Liberal Party financing to ensure that no taxpayer dollars ended up in Liberal Party coffers” — Belinda Stronach
Quebec Some say the battle will be won and lost in this province of many ridings and few members. Indeed, if either candidate is to win Quebec and thus win the race, membership sales will be key.
Belinda Stronach is on her way to winning the province as she has received endorsements from 42 Riding Association Presidents and from 5 former MPs. There are 75 ridings in Quebec and Belinda Stronach has done well to capture the votes there.
Stephen Harper, it seems, is not doing as well in Quebec. He sent out an email requesting that his supporters, “Help [him] sell memberships in the province of Quebec” and “call your friends or relatives in Quebec and get their information to fill out the (membership) form and sign them up for the new party”. This seems to stand in stark contrast with Belinda Stronach’s organizational efforts in Quebec as she has most of the Tory organizers working/volunteering for her there.
So, Stronach and Harper are making varying degrees of progress in Quebec, yet Tony Clement hasn’t made too much noise there. If it is any indication of Tony’s success in Quebec, he is the only leadership candidate without a goofy photo with the Quebec city Carnival’s Bonhomme de Neige. While Stronach and Harper are sweeping through Quebec, Tony has decided to go to Saskatchewan.
Policy Where Tony Clement has turned some heads, however, has been on a “radical” (according to the Toronto Star no less) tax reform policy. This leadership candidate for the Conservative Party of Canada has proposed that the first $250,000 of earnings by every Canadian should be tax free.
“This is about giving young people an opportunity to start their lives here in Canada … A lot are immersed in student debt, they’re looking for an opportunity to make a start in life and here’s a chance if you stay in Canada, the first $250,000 you make is tax free.” — Tony Clement
On tax policy, Belinda Stronach has not been shy. She has pledged to make mortgage interest partially tax deductible and to allow parents to deduct their children’s post-secondary tuition from their income taxes. She has also promised to repeal the tax on capital investment.
Stephen Harper, meanwhile, continues to espouse lower corporate taxes instead of corporate handouts. However, Mr. Harper also proposes to eliminate subsidies given to the Maritimes by the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency. This position is sure to be controversial in the East.
Conclusion All three leadership campaigns seem to have their advantages and disadvantages. However, a definite advantage must be recognized in the campaigns of Belinda Stronach and Stephen Harper over that of Tony Clement. The race is still wide open, however, as the upcoming all-candidates debate on the 22nd could provide some surprises and will likely provide momentum to the candidates that do well.
The polling information from this weekend seems accurate as it seems to be a valid indicator of Canadian outrage to the Liberal sponsorship scandal. Numbers released today indicate that, not only have the numbers held, the Liberals have fallen another 4% (from 39% to 35% popular support). The Conservative Party of Canada, with welcome momentum, has climbed 3% to 27%. The margin of popular support between the two parties is narrowing and the trend would indicate that this differential will only narrow further. As new relevations come each day, more and more Canadians are becoming aware of the mismanagement and inappropriate behaviour by their government.
The numbers this weekend provide hope for our political process — when a party is involved in corrupt practices, giving taxpayer money to party-faithful, the Canadian electorate will react and send a powerful message to Ottawa that they are upset and that they will be heard. Democracy isn’t dead. At a time when the Conservative Party of Canada is gaining momentum, this latest turn of events may indicate that Canada may indeed escape the Liberal Limbo in which it has been suspended for the past 11 years. A competitive political environment is alive in Canada for the first time, in a long time, and Canadians deserve nothing less.
